Category Archives: Politics

Confessions of an Economic Forecaster

Posted on November 7, 2016 by

Economists’ forecasts are notoriously inaccurate. This fallibility is hardly a great surprise given that we live in an irretrievably uncertain world. So why do we keep doing it? What can we learn? Here are my eighteen secrets and myths about the … Continue reading →

Posted in Big Data, Bond Markets, Economic Forecasting, Macro, Macroeconomics, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Looking for Trouble

Posted on April 28, 2016 by

How politics could fuel downside risks to global markets It is easy to find downside risks to the outlook for the global economy and markets. Worse still, a recent ING report, entitled ‘Looking For Trouble’, highlights doubts about the ability … Continue reading →

Posted in Brexit, Economic Growth, Macro, Macroeconomics, Politics, US Election | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment