Looking for trouble…
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Savers are Negative on Negative Rates
Click here to read the ING report
Greek Crisis Lessons
Click here to read the ING report
Globalization Disrupted
Click here for ING presentation
The New Abnormal
Click to read the ING report
Warped World of Bonds
Click to read the ING report
EMU Roads to Survival
Click to read the ING report
EMU Break-up?
Click to read the ING report.
Category Archives: Politics
Pandenomics – 15 ways that Covid-19 could change the world
The Covid-19 pandemic leaves us wrestling with a callous calculus: a crude and capricious trade-off between the tragic and huge loss of life and the many more livelihoods that will be lost. We are nowhere near knowing how bad it … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomics, Politics, Sustainability
Tagged China, consumers, Covid-19, Digital, Economics, employment, EU, financial markets, fiscal policy, Globalization, growth, Innovation, Interest rates, monetary policy, Pandemics, Policy, regulation, Sustainability, Technology, Trade, US
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Time for Macroeconomics to be Remastered
A decade on from the financial crisis, economists have still to learn three crucial sets of lessons. Continue reading
Posted in Economic Forecasting, Inequality, Macroeconomics, Politics, Sustainability, Technology
Tagged Economic Forecasting, Economics, Globalization, growth, Policy, Politics, Technology
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The Great Disruption
The Great Disruption is the apposite title of Project Syndicate’s magazine for 2019. It explores the implications of the political fallout out from the financial crisis, globalisation, technological change and rising inequality. I was privileged to step into the panel … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomics, Politics
Tagged AI, Big Data, Brexit, China, Economics, Globalization, Inequality, Network economics, Politics, Populism, Technology, Trump, US
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Forecasting is Fallible, But Necessary
In my first piece for Project Syndicate I build on my earlier post on the lessons for economic forecasters. The subtitle of their post prompted some questions about the usefulness of big data. There’s no doubt that economic forecasters can … Continue reading
Posted in Big Data, Economic Forecasting, Fintech, Innovation, Macro, Macroeconomics, Network economics, Politics, Technology
Tagged Big Data, Economic Forecasting, Economics, Innovation, Technology
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Confessions of an Economic Forecaster
Economists’ forecasts are notoriously inaccurate. This fallibility is hardly a great surprise given that we live in an irretrievably uncertain world. So why do we keep doing it? What can we learn? Here are my eighteen secrets and myths about the … Continue reading
Looking for Trouble
How politics could fuel downside risks to global markets It is easy to find downside risks to the outlook for the global economy and markets. Worse still, a recent ING report, entitled ‘Looking For Trouble’, highlights doubts about the ability … Continue reading
Posted in Brexit, Economic Growth, Macro, Macroeconomics, Politics, US Election
Tagged Brexit, Economics, fiscal policy, global economy, helicopter money, Macroeconomics, monetary policy, Policy, Politics, US
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