Category Archives: Macroeconomics

The Great Disruption

The Great Disruption is the apposite title of Project Syndicate’s magazine for 2019. It explores the implications of the political fallout out from the financial crisis, globalisation, technological change and rising inequality. I was privileged to step into the panel … Continue reading

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Forecasting is Fallible, But Necessary

In my first piece for Project Syndicate I build on my earlier post on the lessons for economic forecasters.  The subtitle of their post prompted some questions about the usefulness of big data. There’s no doubt that economic forecasters can … Continue reading

Posted in Big Data, Economic Forecasting, Fintech, Innovation, Macro, Macroeconomics, Network economics, Politics, Technology | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Machine, Platform, Crowd – Book Review

Andrew McAfee and Erik Brynjolfsson have done it again. ‘Machine, Platform, Crowd’ is a lucid and timely exploration of three powerful trends unleashed by the digital revolution. They describe the ‘three rebalancings’: first, as machine learning either complements or supplants … Continue reading

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Confessions of an Economic Forecaster

Economists’ forecasts are notoriously inaccurate. This fallibility is hardly a great surprise given that we live in an irretrievably uncertain world. So why do we keep doing it? What can we learn? Here are my eighteen secrets and myths about the … Continue reading

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Looking for Trouble

How politics could fuel downside risks to global markets It is easy to find downside risks to the outlook for the global economy and markets. Worse still, a recent ING report, entitled ‘Looking For Trouble’, highlights doubts about the ability … Continue reading

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Savers are Negative on Negative Rates

In recent weeks market turmoil has put negative interest rates firmly on to the centrals banks’ agenda. The Bank of Japan sprang a surprise by following the European Central Bank in moving into negative territory, and there is even talk … Continue reading

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21 Lessons from the Greek Crisis

  The refinancing deal struck on 13th July between Greece and its Eurozone partners left everyone bruised and unhappy. While it staved off the immediate threat of yet greater chaos from Greece being forced to abandon the euro, doubts remain … Continue reading

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