Pandenomics
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Looking for trouble…
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Savers are Negative on Negative Rates
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Greek Crisis Lessons
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Globalization Disrupted
Click here for ING presentation
The New Abnormal
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Warped World of Bonds
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EMU Roads to Survival
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EMU Break-up?
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Category Archives: Bond Markets
Confessions of an Economic Forecaster
Economists’ forecasts are notoriously inaccurate. This fallibility is hardly a great surprise given that we live in an irretrievably uncertain world. So why do we keep doing it? What can we learn? Here are my eighteen secrets and myths about the … Continue reading
The New Abnormal
It’s remarkable how pervasive ‘New Normal’ thinking still is, despite innumerable economic and financial market shocks. Forecasters continue to assume that the global economy will gravitate towards low but stable growth, regulators still aim to deliver a more stable financial … Continue reading
Posted in Bond Markets, Economic Growth, EMU, Innovation, Macro, Macroeconomics, Productivity, Technology, Uncategorized, US Treasury Bonds
Tagged asset prices, bond markets, ECB, economic cycle, European Central Bank, financial markets, Foreign exchange, global economy, Innovation, Interest rates, Productivity, regulation, Technology
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Draghi’s confidence trick is working a treat
Over the last few months there’s been a dramatic turnaround in capital flows to the Eurozone’s periphery, illustrating the success of ECB President Draghi’s rhetorical flourish last summer to do “whatever it takes” to support EMU. Today’s Financial Times carries … Continue reading
Posted in Bond Markets, EMU, Macro, Macroeconomics
Tagged bond markets, ECB, Economics, EMU, Euro, financial markets, monetary policy
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EMU: Fixing it is far cheaper than breaking it
Politicians in the ‘core’ countries of the Eurozone are toying with the idea of Greece leaving EMU, which would risk an exodus of other peripheral members. A new ING report suggests that this could be very costly. It assesses the … Continue reading
Posted in Bond Markets, EMU, Macro, Macroeconomics, Uncategorized
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Warped World of Bonds – The Story Continues
A new ING presentation fleshes out and updates the argument set out in the previous ‘Warped World’ report (see below): Forecasters are struggling to cope with heightened political and policy risk (the recent reaction to the ECB’s rhetorical flourishes being … Continue reading
Posted in Bond Markets, EMU, Macro, Macroeconomics, US Treasury Bonds
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Bonds in a Warped World, not a ‘New Normal’
In a ING new report entitled ‘The Warped World of Bonds’, I argue that the idea that we might be settling into a ‘new normal’ is fanciful. With the financial crisis still mutating, the valuation basis of the bond markets … Continue reading
Posted in Bond Markets, EMU, Macro, Macroeconomics
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Mark Cliffe 