Tag Archives: Economic Forecasting

New Horizons Beyond ING

My New Favourite Mug Leaving in the midst of the Covid-19 pandemic lockdown is somehow fittingly strange and unexpected. My 22 years at ING, mostly as Chief Economist, marked an unforgettable period of shocks in economics, politics, technology, society and, … Continue reading

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Time for Macroeconomics to be Remastered

A decade on from the financial crisis, economists have still to learn three crucial sets of lessons. Continue reading

Posted in Economic Forecasting, Inequality, Macroeconomics, Politics, Sustainability, Technology | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Forecasting is Fallible, But Necessary

In my first piece for Project Syndicate I build on my earlier post on the lessons for economic forecasters.  The subtitle of their post prompted some questions about the usefulness of big data. There’s no doubt that economic forecasters can … Continue reading

Posted in Big Data, Economic Forecasting, Fintech, Innovation, Macro, Macroeconomics, Network economics, Politics, Technology | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Confessions of an Economic Forecaster

Economists’ forecasts are notoriously inaccurate. This fallibility is hardly a great surprise given that we live in an irretrievably uncertain world. So why do we keep doing it? What can we learn? Here are my eighteen secrets and myths about the … Continue reading

Posted in Big Data, Bond Markets, Economic Forecasting, Macro, Macroeconomics, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments